Microsoft does not like competition, to put it mildly. Microsoft Project was released the following year. In 1983, Primavera Systems released its eponymous scheduling program, Primavera Project Planner (P3). When I graduated from college we were scheduling projects using a mainframe computer. By the time I graduated in 1977 my calculus instructor had introduced us to a primitive desktop computer with a keyboard and no screen. My class was the first one not to learn how to use a mechanical slide rule, because hand-held calculators were becoming readily available. Might as well flip a coin to determine whether a program like P6 will survive because the results will be just as accurate.Ĭhange is inevitable. There are the "unknown unkowns" (as popularized by former Wall Street trader Nassim Nicholas Taleb in his book, Black Swan) that are impossible to predict because we cannot even imagine that such a thing could happen.
To begin with, none of us can accurately predict the future. This is a great way to get people to read your blog, I suppose, but there is absolutely no reason to believe that Primavera P6 is a dinosaur happily living its life until some giant meteor program wipes it off the face of the Earth. Recently I read a blog by someone claiming that Primavera P6 will eventually disappear because there are much better scheduling programs now available.
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